19/05/2025 às 09:12

Global Aquaculture to Hit 122.9M Tons by 2033: Trends & Forecast

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9min de leitura

Aquaculture is lauded as the fundamental source of sustainable seafood production and has become the -primary way to meet the world’s rising demand for fish, shellfish, and plants from the oceans. As wild fish populations continue to plummet and human populations grow, this innovative yet time-honored industry is answering the call with an array of new solutions to sustain billions of fish eaters. Consider coastal farms and inland tanks producing protein-rich sustainable seafood at a benign environmental cost, which is a real possibility of aquaculture. Whether we are talking about markets in Asia or high-tech posts in Europe, the aquaculture is on the cusp of monumental growth. We will examine the size, share, trends, and forecasts (2025-2033) of the aquaculture market to reveal the fundamental drivers of the industry, highlight challenges, and uncover opportunities in our search for the aquaculture promise.

Overview of the Aquaculture Market

Aquaculture also referred to as aquafarming, is a means of producing aquatic organisms (e.g., fish, crustaceans, mollusks, and algae) in a controlled environment. Aquaculture offers a sustainable alternative to fishing because it doesn’t deplete wild stocks. True sustainability means large amounts of seafood are available to meet the demand of a growing global population. Aquaculture can occur in a variety of environments including freshwater ponds, marine cages, and brackish estuaries. Aquaculture can contribute to food security, create jobs and economic development, and restore ecosystems. The versatility of aquaculture allows it to happen in many circumstances: on a small, subsistence farm in rural Asia; to a massive operation in a fjord in Norway.

  • Global Reach: Aquaculture contributes over 50% of the world’s seafood supply, with production spanning Asia, Europe, and the Americas.
  • Diverse Species: Over 580 species are farmed, including tilapia, shrimp, salmon, and seaweed, reflecting rich genetic diversity.
  • Economic Impact: The sector supports millions of livelihoods, particularly in developing nations, and drives export revenues.
  • Sustainability Focus: Advances in feed, water management, and breeding reduce environmental footprints, aligning with global sustainability goals.

This vibrant industry is fueled by rising consumer demand for healthy, protein-rich diets and innovations that enhance productivity. Let’s dive deeper into its growth trajectory.

Market Size & Growth

Global aquaculture market size was valued at 82.8 Million Tons in 2024. Looking forward, IMARC Group estimates the market to reach 122.9 Million Tons by 2033, exhibiting a CAGR of 4.03% during 2025-2033. In 2024, the Asia-Pacific region is the leading force in the market, accounting for more than 90.7% of the total share. This robust growth reflects a confluence of factors: population growth, declining wild fish stocks, and technological advancements that make farming more efficient.

  • Regional Dominance: Asia-Pacific’s dominance stems from its vast water resources, established farming practices, and high seafood consumption. China alone produces over 60% of global aquaculture output.
  • Volume Surge: The projected increase to 122.9 million tons by 2033 highlights aquaculture’s role in bridging the global seafood supply-demand gap.
  • CAGR Insights: The steady 4.03% growth rate signals resilience despite challenges like climate change and regulatory hurdles.
  • Emerging Markets: Countries like India, Vietnam, and Indonesia are ramping up production, driven by government support and export opportunities.

For context, consider India’s aquaculture sector, which produced 14.4 million tons in 2024 and is expected to double by 2033. Government initiatives, like the Fisheries Infrastructure Development Fund, are boosting infrastructure and farmer training, showcasing how policy can accelerate growth. This upward trajectory underscores aquaculture’s pivotal role in global food systems.

Key Trends in the Aquaculture Market

Aquaculture is evolving rapidly, driven by innovation, consumer preferences, and environmental imperatives. Below are the most impactful trends shaping the industry from 2025 to 2033.

Technological Advancements

Automation, artificial intelligence (AI), and the Internet of Things (IoT) are revolutionizing aquaculture. Smart sensors monitor water quality, while AI-driven systems optimize feeding schedules and detect diseases early. For example, Norway’s salmon farms use underwater drones to inspect cages, reducing labor costs and improving fish health. Recirculating Aquaculture Systems (RAS) are gaining traction, enabling land-based farming with minimal water use. In Saudi Arabia, RAS facilities are producing shrimp in desert regions, proving aquaculture’s adaptability.

Sustainable Practices

Sustainability is at the heart of modern aquaculture. Integrated Multi-Trophic Aquaculture (IMTA) combines species like fish, shellfish, and seaweed to mimic natural ecosystems, reducing waste and enhancing yields. In Canada, IMTA trials have shown that mussel and seaweed co-culture with salmon can absorb excess nutrients, improving water quality. Additionally, alternative feeds—using insect meal or algae instead of fishmeal—are cutting reliance on wild-caught fish, addressing overfishing concerns.

Organic and Eco-Friendly Products

Consumer demand for organic seafood is surging, particularly in Europe and North America. In 2025, Sikkim, India, launched the nation’s first organic fisheries cluster, producing antibiotic-free fish for global markets. This trend aligns with rising health consciousness and eco-friendly eating habits, driving premium pricing for certified products.

Diversification of Species

Beyond traditional species like tilapia and shrimp, farmers are exploring high-value options like sea cucumbers, abalone, and microalgae. In South Korea, seaweed farming is expanding due to its use in food, cosmetics, and biofuels. This diversification reduces market risks and taps into niche consumer segments.

Growth in Inland Aquaculture

Inland farming is booming, especially in landlocked regions. Freshwater fish like catfish and carp dominate due to their adaptability and low infrastructure costs. In Australia, a 2024 inland fish farm in Waikerie began cultivating yellowtail kingfish using saline groundwater, showcasing innovative approaches to freshwater scarcity.

These trends highlight aquaculture’s ability to adapt to changing demands and environmental realities, ensuring its long-term viability.

Industry Applications

Aquaculture’s impact extends beyond food production, touching diverse sectors and driving economic value. Here’s how the industry is applied across various domains:

Food and Beverage

The primary application, aquaculture supplies protein-rich seafood to global markets. Fish like tilapia, salmon, and shrimp are staples in diets worldwide, valued for their omega-3 fatty acids and low-fat content. In China, shrimp farming supports both domestic consumption and exports, with 3.7 million tons produced in 2024.

Pharmaceuticals

Aquatic organisms are increasingly used in drug development. Fish oil, rich in omega-3s, is a key ingredient in dietary supplements and heart health medications. In South Korea, demand for organic fish oil is growing in the nutraceutical sector, reflecting its role in preventive healthcare.

Cosmetics and Nutraceuticals

Seaweed and microalgae are prized for their bioactive compounds, used in skincare products and health supplements. In Japan, seaweed extracts are incorporated into anti-aging creams, capitalizing on their antioxidant properties. The global seaweed market, valued at USD 9.01 billion in 2024, underscores this trend.

Ecosystem Restoration

Aquaculture supports conservation efforts by restocking endangered species and restoring habitats. In the U.S., oyster farming in Chesapeake Bay has improved water quality by filtering pollutants, demonstrating aquaculture’s environmental benefits.

Ornamental Trade

The production of ornamental fish, like tropical species for aquariums, is a growing niche. Thailand’s vibrant ornamental fish industry generates significant export revenue, catering to hobbyists worldwide.

These applications illustrate aquaculture’s versatility, making it a cornerstone of both economic and environmental progress.

Regulatory Landscape

Aquaculture operates within a complex web of regulations aimed at ensuring sustainability, food safety, and environmental protection. Governments and international bodies play a critical role in shaping the industry’s trajectory.

Global Standards

The United Nations Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) sets guidelines for responsible aquaculture, emphasizing sustainable practices and ecosystem preservation. The FAO’s Code of Conduct for Responsible Fisheries encourages practices that minimize environmental impact and ensure fish welfare.

Regional Regulations

  • Asia-Pacific: China and India enforce strict water quality and feed standards to prevent pollution and disease. India’s Fisheries Infrastructure Development Fund supports compliance by funding modern infrastructure.
  • Europe: The European Union’s Common Fisheries Policy promotes eco-friendly farming and traceability, requiring certification for organic seafood. Norway’s stringent regulations on salmon farming ensure minimal antibiotic use.
  • North America: In the U.S., the Department of Commerce’s aquaculture policy, updated in 1999, aims to triple production by 2025 while maintaining environmental standards. Canada’s Ocean Act regulates marine aquaculture to protect wild stocks.
  • Middle East: Saudi Arabia’s Vision 2030 includes aquaculture development, with regulations encouraging technology adoption and sustainable practices.

Challenges in Compliance

Small-scale farmers often struggle with compliance due to high costs and complex certification processes. For instance, in Vietnam, shrimp farmers face barriers to obtaining Aquaculture Stewardship Council (ASC) certification, limiting their access to premium markets.

Case Study: Australia’s Regulatory Push

In March 2025, Australia’s government allocated AUD 28 million to enhance salmon farming in Macquarie Harbour. The funds support oxygenation systems and ecological monitoring, ensuring compliance with biosecurity standards. This initiative boosts consumer confidence and positions Australia as a leader in responsible aquaculture.

A balanced regulatory framework fosters innovation while safeguarding ecosystems, but harmonizing global standards remains a work in progress.

Challenges in the Aquaculture Market

Despite its promise, aquaculture faces significant hurdles that could impede growth if unaddressed. Below are the key challenges:

Environmental Impact

Intensive farming can lead to water pollution, habitat destruction, and disease spread. Excess feed and waste from fish farms can cause eutrophication, harming local ecosystems. In Southeast Asia, mangrove destruction for shrimp ponds has reduced coastal biodiversity, prompting calls for stricter regulations.

Disease and Parasite Management

Crowded conditions in farms increase disease risks, such as sea lice in salmon or white spot syndrome in shrimp. In 2023, Vietnam’s shrimp industry lost millions due to disease outbreaks, highlighting the need for robust biosecurity measures.

Feed Sustainability

Traditional fishmeal-based feeds rely on wild-caught fish, exacerbating overfishing. While alternative feeds are emerging, scaling their production remains costly. In Chile, salmon farmers are testing insect-based feeds, but high costs limit widespread adoption.

Climate Change

Rising sea temperatures and extreme weather disrupt farming cycles. In India, unpredictable monsoons have affected inland fish production, forcing farmers to invest in climate-resilient technologies.

Market Access for Small Farmers

Small-scale farmers, who dominate in developing nations, face barriers to global markets due to certification costs and competition from large corporations. In Africa, tilapia farmers struggle to meet export standards, limiting their income potential.

Case Study: Bangladesh’s Shrimp Sector

Bangladesh’s shrimp industry, a major exporter, faces challenges from disease outbreaks and EU import bans due to antibiotic residues. The government is investing in training and testing facilities, but progress is slow, illustrating the complexity of balancing growth and compliance.

Addressing these challenges requires collaboration between governments, industry players, and researchers to ensure sustainable expansion.

Future Opportunities

The aquaculture market is brimming with opportunities, driven by innovation, consumer trends, and global demand. Here are the most promising avenues for growth from 2025 to 2033:

Expansion of Offshore Aquaculture

Offshore farming in deeper waters reduces environmental impact and allows larger-scale production. In Norway, companies like SalMar are developing submersible cages for salmon, capable of withstanding harsh ocean conditions. This approach could unlock new production frontiers.

Biotechnology and Genetics

Advances in genetic engineering are creating disease-resistant and fast-growing fish strains. In Japan, research on genetically improved seaweed varieties is boosting yields, supporting both food and industrial applications.

Digital Transformation

AI and IoT are streamlining operations. In December 2024, Aizip and SoftBank demonstrated an AI-powered fish farming solution in Japan, earning a CES 2025 Innovation Award. Such technologies enhance efficiency and attract investment.

Emerging Markets

Countries like Saudi Arabia and India are investing heavily in aquaculture. Saudi Arabia’s new aquaculture firm in Riyadh, announced in 2024, aims to produce 817,000 tons by 2033, leveraging advanced technologies like RAS.

Value-Added Products

Demand for processed and ready-to-eat seafood is rising. In China, value-added shrimp products, like frozen and ready-to-cook options, are driving market growth, catering to urban consumers’ busy lifestyles.

Case Study: Seaweed Farming in Indonesia

In 2024, Sea6 Energy launched a mechanized tropical seaweed farm in Lombok, Indonesia, targeting food, biofuel, and bioplastic markets. This initiative highlights how aquaculture can tap into diverse industries while promoting sustainability.

These opportunities position aquaculture as a cornerstone of global food security and economic development, provided stakeholders navigate challenges effectively.

Conclusion

Aquaculture is at a critical juncture, ready to transform food systems globally. In 2033, the anticipated market size is forecasted to be 122.9 million tons and is expected to be influenced by technology, sustainability, and increasing consumer demand. The increasing scale of production, especially in Asia-Pacific countries and Tanzania, establishes Aquaculture as a mainstay of global food systems. Emerging trends such as AI in aquaculture farming practices, sustainable feed alternatives, and new farmed species are changing the landscape of aquaculture, as commercialization in food, pharmaceuticals, biofuels, and conservation demonstrates the versatility and relevance of the industry. Meanwhile, the aquaculture sector is confronted with global problems, including environmental impacts, animal diseases, and market access constraints. To navigate towards sustainable aquaculture, companies and organizations must address opportunities, including offshore aquaculture, biotechnology, and data-driven technologies. Potential exists to meet the global challenge of food security, providing for the needs of the world sustainably. As we look towards 2033, the aquaculture industry's marriage of tradition and innovation may hold the key to a sustainable, resilient, protein-rich future.

19 Mai 2025

Global Aquaculture to Hit 122.9M Tons by 2033: Trends & Forecast

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